Growing threat of Chinese sovereign wealth funds
Sunday, February 22nd, 2009During the past week it has been intriguing to see a number of the issues we discussed on this Blog coming to pass.
We discussed sovereign wealth funds. Many articles abound this week with disclosures on Chinese strategy to support their national foreign-policy and taking their huge reserves—a transfer from America of their wealth to China— and using that to buy commodities and position themselves for the economic turnaround in the next 12 to 18 months.
They are acquiring these reserves oil and gas and key minerals. They have entered into contracts with nations ‘stumbling’ because of the economic climate to provide them loans such as Brazil, Russia’s major oil company and others in return for long-term guarantee supply of oil and commodities. Are also winning the hearts and minds of these developing in underdeveloped countries by providing loans not tied to the strict conditions offered by the IMF.
So what — As they consume the reserves acquiring commodities they will have less funds available to loan to America and purchase USA’s IOUs.
In particular although I do not believe they’ve made any large inroads in Canada they certainly have been kicking the tires on a number of our resource-based entities. Let us watch for inroads in nickel, oil and gas as well as copper in the coming months. Indeed the Canadian dollar falling from parity is now at a 20% discount adds to the attraction to purchase Canadian assets on a 20% sale!